Who to Sell. Who to Buy.
Every Premier League team's 5 most-owned attackers, tagged by whether their goals are above or below xG. Above = unsustainable, sell candidate. Below = underperforming, buy the dip. Built on the same finishing variance that drives the CURSD Luck Score.
Sell Candidates
Goals exceed xG by 1.5 or more โ finishing has been hot, returns likely to dry up.
| Player | Team | Price | Owned | Goals | xG | ฮ | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cherki MID | Manchester City | ยฃ7.8 | 30.6% | 2 | 0.3 | +1.6 | 7.3 |
| Elanga MID | Newcastle | ยฃ6.1 | 10.6% | 2 | 0.4 | +1.6 | 6.0 |
Buy the Dip
Goals trail xG by 1.0 or more โ chances are there, finishing is due to convert.
| Player | Team | Price | Owned | Goals | xG | ฮ | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thiago FWD | Brentford | ยฃ8.0 | 13.5% | 0 | 1.8 | -1.8 | 0.7 |
| Mbeumo MID | Manchester United | ยฃ7.9 | 26.8% | 1 | 2.3 | -1.3 | 4.3 |
All Teams โ Most-Owned Attackers
Crystal Palace's finishing has tracked their xG closely โ fantasy returns are sustainable.
Nottingham Forest's finishing has tracked their xG closely โ fantasy returns are sustainable.
Fulham's finishing has tracked their xG closely โ fantasy returns are sustainable.
Manchester United's finishing has tracked their xG closely โ fantasy returns are sustainable.
Bournemouth's finishing has tracked their xG closely โ fantasy returns are sustainable.
Aston Villa's finishing has tracked their xG closely โ fantasy returns are sustainable.
Brighton's finishing has tracked their xG closely โ fantasy returns are sustainable.
Brentford's finishing has tracked their xG closely โ fantasy returns are sustainable.
Sunderland's finishing has tracked their xG closely โ fantasy returns are sustainable.
Liverpool's finishing has tracked their xG closely โ fantasy returns are sustainable.
Manchester City's finishing has tracked their xG closely โ fantasy returns are sustainable.
Arsenal's finishing has tracked their xG closely โ fantasy returns are sustainable.
Leeds's finishing has tracked their xG closely โ fantasy returns are sustainable.
Chelsea's finishing has tracked their xG closely โ fantasy returns are sustainable.
Everton's finishing has tracked their xG closely โ fantasy returns are sustainable.
Newcastle's finishing has tracked their xG closely โ fantasy returns are sustainable.
Hull City's finishing has tracked their xG closely โ fantasy returns are sustainable.
Source: official FPL API (fantasy.premierleague.com) for prices and ownership. xG aggregated from FPL's underlying provider. Verdicts derived from finishing delta (goals โ xG). Not betting or fantasy advice โ review your own team context before transferring.